Affordability

Did household living costs rise faster than wages?

Worse

The annual rise in household living costs is 3.2%, up from 2.6% in the year to June 2025.

In the year to June 2026 the all-households HLPI rose 3.2%, up from 2.6% in the same quarter a year earlier, while the labour cost index rose 2.0%. Living costs therefore outpaced wages by 1.2 percentage points. Superannuitant living costs rose 4.5%. Those are two official series placed side by side — an association, not a cause.

Data as of 5 Aug 2026

Topic verdict rule: primary series recent like for like. Official significance, published CIs, then like-for-like year-on-year — never hand-set.

HLPI all-households annual change

3.2 %

Official series

HLPI all-households annual change

Worse

3.2 % · moderate confidence

Like-for-like change 0.6 from 2025-06-01 to 2026-06-01 against threshold 0.1085; lower is better. Theil–Sen is longer-run context and does not override this headline.

Stats NZ · as of 28 Jul 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Annual HLPI change, June 2026 quarter. Includes mortgage interest.

LCI all salary and wage rates annual change

Insufficient

2 % · weak confidence

Fewer than two official observations — no trend can be derived.

Stats NZ · as of 5 Aug 2026 (opens in a new tab)

All salary and wage rates including overtime, all sectors. LCIQ all-sectors index 1459.

HLPI minus LCI (living-cost gap)

Insufficient

1.2 percentage points · weak confidence

Fewer than two official observations — no trend can be derived.

Stats NZ · as of 28 Jul 2026 (opens in a new tab)

3.2 (HLPI all households) minus 2.0 (LCI all salary and wage rates). Constructed from two official series. Association, not causation. HLPI includes mortgage interest; LCI holds labour quality fixed.

QES ordinary-time hourly earnings annual change

Insufficient

2.8 % · weak confidence

Fewer than two official observations — no trend can be derived.

Stats NZ · as of 5 Aug 2026 (opens in a new tab)

QES average ordinary-time hourly earnings $44.62, annual change.

Published breakdowns

Official tables by region, income and household type where the agency publishes them. Group differences are associations, not causes.

Group gaps

Raw gap beside any official adjusted gap. Association only — not a cause.

income

Annual household living-costs inflation

Superannuitants compared with Highest-spending households. Period June 2026 quarter (annual).

Raw gap

2.6 percentage points higher

4.5 vs 1.9 percentage points

Official adjusted gap

Not published

An explained share is not published — CivicNZ does not invent one.

HLPI household groups are one-way. Stats NZ does not publish a residual after interest-rate exposure or household composition.

Measured factors

  • Stratified

    Household income / quintile

    Income and expenditure quintiles are published as separate one-way groups.

  • Not published

    Tenure (rent / mortgage / own outright)

    The official table for this comparison does not apply or stratify this factor.

  • Stratified

    Household type

    Official HLPI household groups include superannuitants and expenditure quintiles.

  • Not published

    Region

    The official table for this comparison does not apply or stratify this factor.

  • Stratified

    Ethnicity

    Māori household living costs rose 3.2% in the year to June 2026, matching the all-households rate.

  • Context only

    Mortgage interest

    HLPI includes mortgage interest; CPI does not. Interest payments fell 15.4% for the average household in the year to June 2026.

  • Not published

    Dwelling quality / size

    The official table for this comparison does not apply or stratify this factor.

  • Not published

    Hours and employment mix

    The official table for this comparison does not apply or stratify this factor.

  • Not published

    Tax and transfers

    The official table for this comparison does not apply or stratify this factor.

HLPI annual change, June 2026 quarter

Household groupAnnual %
Superannuitants4.5
Lowest-spending4.3
Lowest-income4.0
Beneficiaries3.7
All households3.2
Māori3.2
Highest-income2.4
Highest-spending1.9
Headline CPI (different basket)4.1

CPI is a different basket (new housing, not mortgage interest). Do not treat the 4.1 / 3.2 gap as a residual.

What this does not tell us

  • A gap is an association in the official table. It is not evidence that a policy, culture, or household choice caused the difference.
  • CivicNZ does not invent an official adjusted gap or an explained share when the agency did not publish one.
  • National averages hide households that pay typical prices on below-average incomes.
  • A higher HLPI for superannuitants is associated with their basket, including interest and rates. It is not a finding about pension adequacy.

Official source (opens in a new tab) · Data as of 28 Jul 2026

Notable findings

Worsemoderate evidence

The annual rise in household living costs is 3.2%, up from 2.6% in the year to June 2025.

HLPI all-households annual change moved from 2.6% to 3.2% (June 2025 → June 2026). Verdict Worse is derived (recent_like_for_like), not an editorial call. The movement is an association in the official series.

Official or openly licensed primary sources only. Definition changes and revisions can move a series without a real-world change.

What this does not tell us

  • HLPI and LCI measure different things. Subtracting them is an association of two official series.
  • HLPI includes mortgage interest. CPI does not.

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